Los Alamos, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

265
FXUS65 KABQ 271129 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
529 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 523 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

- Moderate heat risk will impact the lower elevations of northern
  and western NM today, then the lower elevations of western NM on
  Monday. Cooler temperatures are forecast from Tuesday through
  Thursday.

- After a downtick in storm coverage this weekend, monsoon
  moisture will begin to spread northward over New Mexico again
  late Sunday into Monday. Then, a monsoon burst will surge into
  the region Tuesday through Thursday with locally heavy rainfall
  and flash flooding possible, especially around burn scars,
  urban areas, and poorly drained areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

The upper high over the southeast US is extending a ridge axis
west into the region and pressure heights are on the uptrend,
bringing above average temperatures and a moderate heat risk to
the lower elevations of northern and western NM. PWATs are on the
uptrend across southern NM on the south side of the mid level
ridge axis, which will bring an increase in coverage of showers
and storms to the Ruidoso area today along with a minor to
moderate threat for burn scar flash flooding. The ridge axis is
forecast to lift north and allow moisture to flow into much of NM
on Monday as an easterly wave, currently along the lower TX coast,
moves northeast into southern NM. Look for an increase in coverage
of storms on Monday afternoon/evening, favoring the mountains with
an increasing threat for burn scar flash flooding. A moderate heat
risk will continue on Monday, but shift further north and west
impacting the lower elevations between Gallup, Farmington and
Cuba.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

PWATS will continue to trend up Monday night through Tuesday as
the upper high moves west to over northeast TX and an upper level
trough sharpens along the CA coast, allowing a Monsoon moisture
plume to stand up over the region. This setup will continue
Wednesday as the upper high continues west into west TX. PWATs
will generally be around or slightly above the 90th percentile for
late July and are modeled to reach near 1.1" at KABQ by Wednesday,
which when combined with slow storm motion will bring a locally
heavy rainfall threat. As a result of this setup, PoPs and flash
flood potential increase Tue/Wed and daytime temperatures trend
down below average. PWATs will then trend down areawide from
Friday through Sunday as the Monsoon moisture plume is cut off,
with the upper high continuing westward and increasing it`s grip
on the Desert SW and NM. Temperatures will trend back up above
average most areas by Sunday. The combination of convective
outflow and a backdoor front will keep northeast NM relatively
moist and active Fri/Sat.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the
TAF period, although with the development of VFR cigs by evening.
Isolated convection across central/eastern NM will likely produce
strong/erratic wind gusts, with low probability of impacts at
KTCC. Otherwise, winds will be light.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least
the next seven days. Very dry conditions will persist across
western NM today and then be more limited to northwest NM on
Monday. After a break from storms this weekend, humidity and
chances for wetting rain will be back on the upswing from early
through mid week with a Monsoon moisture surge forecast. Chances
for wetting storms will peak Tue/Wed, then trend down toward the
end of the week and through the weekend as the upper high moves
west across southern NM and cuts off the Monsoon moisture plume.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  94  61  96  67 /   5   0  10  10
Dulce...........................  90  49  91  52 /   5   0  30  20
Cuba............................  90  59  89  59 /   5   0  30  30
Gallup..........................  92  52  92  57 /   5   5  20  20
El Morro........................  87  56  86  58 /   5  10  30  30
Grants..........................  92  56  90  59 /   5  10  30  30
Quemado.........................  89  59  88  59 /  10  10  50  40
Magdalena.......................  89  63  85  61 /  10  10  50  40
Datil...........................  88  58  85  57 /  10  10  50  40
Reserve.........................  93  56  91  56 /  10  10  70  40
Glenwood........................  98  61  93  60 /  10  10  80  50
Chama...........................  84  50  84  51 /   5   0  40  30
Los Alamos......................  86  62  84  61 /   5   5  60  40
Pecos...........................  89  57  86  56 /  10  10  50  40
Cerro/Questa....................  85  55  83  54 /  10   0  50  30
Red River.......................  76  44  75  44 /  10   5  50  30
Angel Fire......................  79  39  78  40 /  20   5  60  30
Taos............................  88  55  86  54 /   5   0  40  30
Mora............................  82  52  81  51 /  20  10  50  30
Espanola........................  94  60  91  59 /   5   5  30  30
Santa Fe........................  89  62  86  60 /  10  10  50  40
Santa Fe Airport................  93  60  90  59 /   5  10  30  40
Albuquerque Foothills...........  94  69  91  67 /  10  10  30  60
Albuquerque Heights.............  95  70  92  68 /   5  10  30  40
Albuquerque Valley..............  96  61  93  61 /   5   5  20  40
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  96  68  94  67 /   5   5  30  40
Belen...........................  97  67  94  65 /   5   5  20  40
Bernalillo......................  96  65  93  64 /   5  10  30  40
Bosque Farms....................  96  63  93  62 /   5   5  20  40
Corrales........................  96  65  93  65 /   5   5  30  40
Los Lunas.......................  97  65  94  64 /   5   5  20  40
Placitas........................  93  65  90  63 /   5  10  30  40
Rio Rancho......................  95  67  92  66 /   5   5  30  40
Socorro.........................  98  68  94  67 /  10  10  40  40
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  88  60  85  59 /  10  10  30  50
Tijeras.........................  90  63  87  62 /  10  10  40  50
Edgewood........................  90  58  86  58 /  10  10  40  40
Moriarty/Estancia...............  91  56  88  55 /  10  10  40  40
Clines Corners..................  86  58  82  57 /  20  10  30  30
Mountainair.....................  89  58  86  58 /  20  10  40  40
Gran Quivira....................  88  58  84  58 /  20  10  50  40
Carrizozo.......................  88  63  86  63 /  30  10  40  40
Ruidoso.........................  82  54  79  53 /  40  10  60  30
Capulin.........................  86  55  84  54 /  10  10  20  20
Raton...........................  90  55  89  54 /  10   5  20  20
Springer........................  92  56  89  56 /  10  10  20  20
Las Vegas.......................  87  55  84  55 /  10  10  30  30
Clayton.........................  93  65  90  64 /  10   5   0   5
Roy.............................  89  60  85  60 /  10  10  10  10
Conchas.........................  96  66  92  66 /  10  10   5  10
Santa Rosa......................  93  64  89  63 /  10  10  10  20
Tucumcari.......................  93  65  90  64 /  10   5   0  10
Clovis..........................  95  66  92  66 /  10   5   5  10
Portales........................  94  66  92  66 /  10   5   5   5
Fort Sumner.....................  94  66  91  66 /  10  10  10  10
Roswell.........................  96  70  93  70 /  10  10  10  10
Picacho.........................  90  62  87  62 /  20  10  20  20
Elk.............................  85  59  82  59 /  40  10  50  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11